简介：commentary on australian & world events from a social-democratic perspective

原站：http://johnquiggin.com

“John Quiggin”的内容更新

累计：660 篇（自 2009-11-04 起）

更新：约6篇/周，最后更新1 天前

John Quiggin

Further adventures on Intrade

as i mentioned last time i wrote about my adventures on intrade, i’m sceptical of the claim, a special case of the (semi-strong version of the) efficient markets hypothesis, that the odds in betting markets provide the best estimate of the probability of political outcomes. i managed to double my small stake betting on newt gingrich, and might have mad... (1 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/w7x3bwxe

John Quiggin

Expansionary austerity: some shoddy scholarship (rep

i’ve just read ‘tales of fiscal adjustment’ by alesina and ardagna, which appears to be the founding text for the idea of expansionary austerity. the level of scholarship, at least as it applies to australia (which is their first illustration) is exceptionally poor, to the extent that it requires a rescuscitation of the ancient internet tradition of f... (3 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/lceojwx6

John Quiggin

The zombie economics of austerity in Australia

yesterday’s fin ran a piece from stephen kirchner and robert carling of the centre for independent studies, under the headline “give austerity a chance” which was a pretty accurate summary of the contents. it’s paywalled, but for those with access the link is here. the piece relies almost exclusively on the work of alberto alesina and his colleagues,... (3 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/kk9yywxv

John Quiggin

Monday Message Board

it’s time for another monday message board. post comments on any topic. as usual, civilised discussion and no coarse language. lengthy side discussions to the sandpits, please.... (4 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/d6xzuwxa

John Quiggin

Startling news from the polls

in a piece that pretty much writes off julia gillard as pm, laurie oakes reportsalp polling has produced a finding that has startled those around the prime minister.it shows that, while only 30 per cent of voters plan to vote for the gillard government, 38 per cent describe themselves as labor people.the conclusion drawn from this is that the governme... (7 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/imemr8xc

John Quiggin

Republican idiocracy

as usual with my fin columns, catallaxy was straight out of the gate with a response yesterday. it was perhaps unsurprising as my piece mentioned climate change, and the catallaxy crew includes a self-described “prominent scientist”, alan moran, a signatory of public letters attacking mainstream climate science. in catallaxy terms, however, moran seem... (7 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/vz9628xy

John Quiggin

Crikey Group Subscription

every year, club troppo econoblogger nicholas gruen organizes a group subscription to crikey. if you’re interested, check it out herehttp://clubtroppo.com.au/2012/02/02/crikey-group-subscription-2/... (9 天前)

http://inezha.com/w/myxkb8x8

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